File:Actrial forecast num edits autocreated nonzero 30.png

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Description
English: Graph showing forecast with 80% and 95% confidence intervals for the average number of edits in the first 30 days made by autocreated accounts making at least one edit. The forecast is for the first three months when ACTRIAL was running. The historic data on which the model is trained uses a geometric mean. The forecast uses an ARIMA(0,1,2) model with drift. The true average for each month is shown in red.
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Author Nettrom

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9 February 2018

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31cf3a4963fe9bad404c07ef2ae841956730ece0

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current00:24, 10 February 2018Thumbnail for version as of 00:24, 10 February 20181,170 × 810 (62 KB)NettromUser created page with UploadWizard