Cuxhaven

# Possible impact of future sea level rise on storm surges by 2100

**If future greenhouse gas emission keeps high (like in RCP8.5):**

- a severe storm surge like in 1962 (cross) could occur about every 10 years at Cuxhaven.
- In the current climate, this storm surge occurs statistically about every 116 years at Cuxhaven. A 116-year event in such a future climate could reach a height of about 5.54 meters at Cuxhaven relative to the mean of 1986-2005.
- A 200-year event, which is an important reference for coastal defense measures, may occur about every 15 years at Cuxhaven in such a future climate.
- A 200-year event in such a future climate could reach a height of about 5.67 meters at Cuxhaven relative to the mean of 1986-2005.

**If future greenhouse gas emisson will be significantly reduced (like in RCP2.6):**

- a severe storm surge like in 1962 (cross) may occur about every 28 years at Cuxhaven.
- In the current climate, this storm surge occurs statistically about every 116 years at Cuxhaven. A 116-year event in such a future climate could reach a height of about 5.22 meters at Cuxhaven relative to the mean of 1986-2005.
- A 200-year event, which is an important reference for coastal defense measures, may occur about every 44 years at Cuxhaven in such a future climate.
- A 200-year event in such a future climate could reach a height of about 5.35 meters at Cuxhaven relative to the mean of 1986-2005.