Research talk:Wikipedia article creation/Work log/Monday, December 9th

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Monday, December 9th[edit]

I'm trying to incorporate AfC drafts into my analysis of the survival proportion of English Wikipedia. I consider a page to be an AfC draft if it remains under Wikipedia_talk:Articles_for_creation/<title>. All drafts that were deleted or that haven't been moved to Main within 6 months of article creation are considered to be "failed". To deal with the right truncation issue, I've limited my dataset to go up until April this year.

The monthly survival proportion is plotted for both articles and AfC drafts from the English Wikipedia.
Article & drafts survival. The monthly survival proportion is plotted for both articles and AfC drafts from the English Wikipedia.

Sadly, I don't know which pages started as drafts. That is, I wouldn't if I didn't have this fancy dataset that has a history of moves. Mwahahaha! OK. Time to get that into shape so that it will be useful. --Halfak (WMF) (talk) 21:28, 9 December 2013 (UTC)[reply]


While I'm waiting for my move extractor, I ran some numbers on how many drafts are being arbitrarily chosen to have "failed" by me in this analysis.

> select LEFT(first_revision, 4) AS year, page.archived OR should_be_archived OR declined_submission, count(*) FROM nov13_afc_draft_status INNER JOIN nov13_page page USING(page_id, page_namespace, page_title) WHERE first_revision < "20130501" GROUP BY 1,2;
+------+------------------------------------------------------------+----------+
| year | page.archived OR should_be_archived OR declined_submission | count(*) |
+------+------------------------------------------------------------+----------+
| 2004 |                                                          1 |        1 |
| 2005 |                                                          1 |        1 |
| 2006 |                                                          0 |        1 |
| 2006 |                                                          1 |       30 |
| 2007 |                                                          0 |        1 |
| 2007 |                                                          1 |       52 |
| 2008 |                                                          0 |       12 |
| 2008 |                                                          1 |     3300 |
| 2009 |                                                          0 |       47 |
| 2009 |                                                          1 |     8720 |
| 2010 |                                                          0 |       70 |
| 2010 |                                                          1 |    11654 |
| 2011 |                                                          0 |      305 |
| 2011 |                                                          1 |    28153 |
| 2012 |                                                          0 |     1746 |
| 2012 |                                                          1 |    71779 |
| 2013 |                                                          0 |      851 |
| 2013 |                                                          1 |    24935 |
+------+------------------------------------------------------------+----------+
18 rows in set (2.46 sec)

Wow! That's better than I thought! Only 851 ambiguous drafts in 2013! --Halfak (WMF) (talk) 23:04, 9 December 2013 (UTC)[reply]